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NewEconomicThinking
NewEconomicThinking·January 31, 2018

The Indispensable Role of Cities in Global Poverty Reduction and Economic Development

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Summary

This podcast episode, featuring economist Edward Glaeser, delves into the critical role of cities in fostering economic prosperity and alleviating poverty, particularly in the developing world. Glaeser emphasizes that human capital, primarily education, serves as the fundamental bedrock for urban success, distinguishing thriving metropolises like Boston from struggling ones like Detroit. He highlights that skills are powerful predictors of urban growth and population increase over extended periods, underscoring the importance of investing in human potential within urban centers.

The discussion also critically examines the dual role of government in urban development. While acknowledging the necessity of robust public sectors and regulations to manage the inherent downsides of density—such as crime, traffic congestion, and contagious diseases—Glaeser cautions against excessive governmental over-regulation, especially concerning housing production. He contrasts urban trends in the US and Europe, noting a historical suburban exodus followed by a recent re-urbanization driven by rising education, income, and demand for urban amenities, with climate also playing a mediating role in regional growth patterns.

The core focus shifts to the developing world, where cities are undergoing a profound transformation, fulfilling their historic function of converting poverty into prosperity. Glaeser points out a significant demographic shift over the past 50 years: what was once a strong correlation between being poor and being rural has evolved, with 40% of ultra-poor countries now being more than one-third urbanized. This rapid urbanization presents immense challenges, as exemplified by countries like the Democratic Republic of Congo grappling with urban problems amidst extreme poverty, and China facing issues of housing supply sustainability despite its overall urban dynamism.

Ultimately, Glaeser articulates a strong conviction that there is no viable future in rural poverty. He argues that urbanization is the indispensable pathway for countries to become richer, fairer, and better governed, despite the formidable challenges it presents. The episode concludes by framing the task of making these rapidly growing cities of the developing world more livable as one of the great vocations and critical endeavors of the 21st century, underscoring the urgency and complexity of sustainable urban development.

Key Quotes

human capital is the bedrock on which urban success rests
skills are very strong predictors of which areas have added population over the past even hundred years
cities really do need regulations to deal with the downsides to density
governments can also vastly over regulate housing production
the metropolitan economies have by and large done much better than the rural economies have over the last 40 years
to be poor was to be rural these two things went together over the past 50 years has been a huge tilt now 40 percent of those ultra poor countries are more than one-third urban
they underestimate the power of supply to set the markets
I believe very strongly that there is no future in rural poverty
these countries will only get richer they will only get fair they won't get better governed through urbanization
one of the great vocations of the 21st century is working too hard to make these cities of the developing world more livable

Concepts

Themes

  • Urbanization as an economic engine
  • Challenges of rapid urban growth
  • The role of governance in urban success
  • Human capital's impact on city prosperity
  • The rural-urban divide
  • Global poverty alleviation strategies
  • Housing market sustainability

Related to:

Economics Insights

Market Implications

  • Housing market sustainability in rapidly urbanizing economies, particularly concerning the power of supply to set prices.

Key Concepts

  • Human capital
  • Urban density
  • Government regulation
  • Rural-urban divide
  • Supply-side economics

Data Cited

  • In 1960, no country with per capita income below $1,000 was more than one-third urbanized.
  • Currently, 40% of ultra-poor countries are more than one-third urban.

Practical Applications

  • Strategic urban planning, balanced regulatory frameworks for density, investment in human capital, and careful management of housing supply.

Risks Mentioned

  • Political dysfunction
  • Over-regulation of housing
  • Crime
  • Traffic congestion
  • Contagious disease in dense areas
  • Unsustainable housing prices due to oversupply.

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